March Madness First Round Predictions & Picks Today – March 17

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 16, 2023

The NCAA Tournament schedule on Friday, which includes the Arizona State Sun Devils versus the TCU Horned Frogs, is not one to miss. Here are the best bets of the day to keep in mind.

Scroll down to find the best spread, total, and moneyline bets in college basketball based on our computer projections and make your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Spread Pick: Arizona State (+5) vs TCU

The spread for this game suggested by the model (2.1 points) is tighter than the 5-point edge DraftKings gives to TCU, though the data still has them as the favorite.

Read a full preview of this game here.

Arizona State TCU
ATS Record 16-19-0 16-16-1
Favorite ATS Record 7-13-0 10-10-1
Underdog ATS Record 9-5-0 6-6-0
Home ATS Record 5-10-0 9-7-1
Away ATS Record 6-7-0 4-6-0
Conference ATS Record 8-15-0 9-10-1

Want to bet on Arizona State to cover in this matchup? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your bet!

Total Pick: VCU vs Saint Mary’s (CA) Over (123)

The model projects a total (132.7 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (123 points). Take the over.

Saint Mary’s (CA) VCU
O-U-P 15-17-1 18-16-0
Home O-U-P 8-9-1 7-8-0
Away O-U-P 4-4-0 7-5-0
Conference O-U-P 9-8-1 12-10-0

Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook to bet on this game’s point total!

Moneyline Pick: Memphis (-130) vs FAU (+110)

Score Prediction: Memphis 74, Florida Atlantic 73

Memphis Florida Atlantic
ML Fave. Record 20-2 26-1
ML Und. Record 3-5 3-2
Home ML Fave. Record 10-1 15-0
Home ML Und. Record 0-1 0-0
Away ML Fave. Record 6-1 9-1
Away ML Und. Record 1-4 2-2
Conf. ML Fave. Record 14-2 19-1
Conf. ML Und. Record 2-3 2-1

Who do you think will take home the win? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Today’s First Round Schedule

Matchup Game Time TV Favorite Total
USC (22-11) vs Michigan State (20-12) 12:15 PM ET CBS Michigan State (-3) 136.5
Kennesaw State (26-9) vs No. 13 Xavier (26-9) 12:40 PM ET truT Xavier (-12) 152
UCSB (27-8) vs No. 11 Baylor (23-10) 1:30 PM ET TNT Baylor (-10.5) 141.5
VCU (27-8) vs No. 19 Saint Mary’s (CA) (27-7) 2:00 PM ET TBS Saint Mary’s (CA) (-4.5) 123
Vermont (23-11) vs No. 6 Marquette (29-6) 2:51 PM ET CBS Marquette (-10.5) 142
Pittsburgh (23-11) vs Iowa State (19-13) 3:31 PM ET truT Iowa State (-4.5) 130.5
NC State (23-10) vs Creighton (21-12) 3:56 PM ET TNT Creighton (-5.5) 148.5
Iona (27-7) vs No. 10 UConn (25-8) 4:48 PM ET TBS UConn (-9.5) 141
Fairleigh Dickinson (20-15) vs No. 3 Purdue (29-5) 6:50 PM ET TNT
Providence (21-11) vs Kentucky (21-11) 7:10 PM ET CBS Kentucky (-4.5) 143
Drake (27-7) vs No. 16 Miami (25-7) 7:25 PM ET TBS Miami (-2.5) 145.5
Grand Canyon (24-11) vs No. 9 Gonzaga (28-5) 7:35 PM ET truT Gonzaga (-15.5) 154
No. 25 Florida Atlantic (31-3) vs No. 24 Memphis (26-8) 9:20 PM ET TNT Memphis (-1.5) 152
Montana State (25-9) vs No. 15 Kansas State (23-9) 9:40 PM ET CBS Kansas State (-7.5) 140
Kent State (28-6) vs No. 21 Indiana (22-11) 9:55 PM ET TBS Indiana (-4.5) 140
Arizona State (23-12) vs No. 22 TCU (21-12) 10:05 PM ET truT TCU (-5) 142

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