Mississippi State Vs Florida: College Basketball Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – January 21, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 20, 2023

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-6, 1-5 SEC) aim to end a three-game losing skid when hosting the Florida Gators (10-8, 3-3 SEC) at 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, January 21, 2023 at Humphrey Coliseum. The game airs on SEC Network. Keep reading to find betting insights and statistics to help place a wager on the Bulldogs’ (-138 to win on the moneyline) contest against the Gators (+114).

This article refers to lines valid as of January 21, 2023 at 5:45 PM ET. Find all the current odds for this matchup in the table below and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Mississippi State Vs Florida Betting Lines

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Mississippi State (-2)
Total Pick Over (128.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Mississippi State Vs Florida Stat Rankings

Mississippi State Avg. (Rank) Florida Avg. (Rank)
65.3 (329th) Points Scored 72.9 (153rd)
58.2 (6th) Points Allowed 65.7 (79th)
37.3 (36th) Rebounds 35.1 (114th)
13.4 (2nd) Off. Rebounds 8.4 (263rd)
6.2 (293rd) 3pt Made 6.8 (248th)
14.2 (106th) Assists 11.9 (282nd)
11.9 (138th) Turnovers 11.6 (110th)

Mississippi State Vs Florida Betting Trends

  • The Bulldogs have covered the spread eight times in 18 games.
  • Mississippi State’s ATS record as 2-point favorites or more is 7-7.
  • This season, five of the Bulldogs’ 18 games have gone over the point total.
  • Mississippi State and its opponent have broken the 128.5-point mark six times this year.
  • The over/under in this game is 128.5 points, 5.1 higher than the average total in Bulldogs games this season.
  • Against the spread, Florida is 9-9-0 this season.
  • The Gators have two wins ATS (2-1) as a 2-point underdog or more this year.
  • Out of 18 Mississippi State’s games so far this year, five have hit the over.
  • Gators games have had over 128.5 points 13 times this season.
  • The average total points scored in Florida’s games this year (138.6) is 10.1 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Mississippi State Impact Players

  • Tolu Smith puts up 13.8 points and 7.9 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also averaging 1.6 assists, shooting 57.2% from the floor.
  • D.J Jeffries is averaging 9.3 points, 1.8 assists and 6.2 rebounds per contest.
  • Cameron Matthews averages 6.4 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game, shooting 44.3% from the floor.
  • Shakeel Moore posts 8 points, 2.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 37.3% from the field.
  • Dashawn Davis leads the Bulldogs at 3.3 assists per game, while also posting 1.7 rebounds and 8.1 points.

Florida Impact Players

  • Colin Castleton is averaging team highs in points (14.9 per game) and rebounds (8.1). And he is contributing 2.7 assists, making 49.7% of his shots from the floor.
  • The Gators get 10.1 points, 4.3 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game from Will Richard.
  • The Gators receive 7.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game from Alex Fudge.
  • Kyle Lofton is the Gators’ top assist man (2.9 per game), and he posts 8.8 points and 2.4 rebounds.
  • Trey Bonham is posting 8.5 points, 2.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest, making 39.7% of his shots from the floor and 35.8% from 3-point range, with 1.3 triples per game.
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