Patrick Mahomes II: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 18 Chiefs Vs Raiders – January 7, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 4, 2023

NFL play in Week 18 will see the Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes II face off against the Las Vegas Raiders at 4:30 PM ET on Saturday.

Patrick Mahomes II Player Props Vs The Raiders

2022 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 11 7
Games w/1+ TDs 16 4
Games w/2+ TDs 12 0

Patrick Mahomes II’s Passing Trends

  • Mahomes has passed for 5,048 yards (315.5 per game) while completing 67% of his passes (417-for-622), with 40 touchdowns and 12 interceptions.
  • Mahomes finds himself third in the league with 8.1 yards per attempt as a passer (5,048 total yards passing).
  • Mahomes’ 5,048 passing yards and 40 TDs both rank first in the league.
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Mahomes’ Rushing Trends

  • He’s also rushed 58 times for 329 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 20.6 yards per game.
  • He racks up 5.7 yards per carry (329 yards on 58 attempts).

This Week’s Predictions

Mahomes (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Raiders (2022) Prediction
323.5+ Passing Yards 56.2% 12.4% 12.5% 39.8%
1+ Passing TDs 100% 77.4% 87.5% 94%
2+ Passing TDs 75% 40.5% 43.8% 62.9%
13.5+ Rushing Yards 56.2% 97% 95.7% 71.2%
1+ Rushing TDs 25% 35.8% 43.5% 31%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.5% 8.7% 3%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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