Capitals Vs Sabres: NHL Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – January 3, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 2, 2023

Alex Ovechkin scored a hat trick for the Washington Capitals in their most recent game, and next up is a matchup with the Buffalo Sabres, on Tuesday in Washington. The most recent betting lines reveal that the Sabres are +137 on the moneyline and the Capitals are -163 to win this matchup. This contest has an over/under set at 6.5 goals.

The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of January 3, 2023 at 5:29 PM ET. See below for a table with the latest odds for this contest and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Capitals Vs Sabres Betting Odds

Injury Report as of January 3

Capitals: Tom Wilson: Out (Knee), T.J. Oshie: Probable (Upper Body), Connor Brown: Out (Knee), John Carlson: Out (Face), Carl Hagelin: Out (Hip), Nicklas Backstrom: Out (Hip)

Sabres: Henri Jokiharju: Out (Lower Body)

Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Capitals
Total Pick Over (6.5)
Spread Pick Sabres (+1.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Capitals Vs Sabres Team Stats

Capitals Avg. (Rank) Sabres Avg. (Rank)
3.26 (12th) Goals Scored 3.91 (1st)
2.72 (8th) Goals Allowed 3.37 (22nd)
31.5 (17th) Shots 32.1 (12th)
30.5 (12th) Shots Allowed 33.0 (25th)

Capitals Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Alex Ovechkin 39 26 19 45 169 8 0
Evgeny Kuznetsov 38 6 27 33 96 4 0
Dylan Strome 39 8 20 28 70 3 -5
Conor Sheary 39 11 15 26 81 2 +6
Erik Gustafsson 38 6 17 23 64 0 +6

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Sabres Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Tage Thompson 35 27 24 51 153 12 +12
Alex Tuch 35 17 22 39 99 5 +12
Jeff Skinner 32 17 21 38 104 5 +14
Rasmus Dahlin 34 10 27 37 108 5 +15
Dylan Cozens 35 12 23 35 89 2 +2

Betting Trends

  • The Capitals are 11-4 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Capitals have an implied win probability of 62.0%.
  • The Sabres have been made an underdog 25 times this season, and won 11, or 44.0%, of those games.
  • The Sabres have a 42.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Washington’s 39 matches this season have finished above this game’s total of 6.5 goals 16 times.
  • Buffalo has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 21 of 35 games this season.
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