Patrick Mahomes II: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 17 Chiefs Vs Broncos – January 1, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 29, 2022

Patrick Mahomes II’s Kansas City Chiefs will take the field against the Denver Broncos at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday in Week 17 of the 2022 NFL campaign.

Patrick Mahomes II Player Props Vs The Broncos

2022 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 10 7
Games w/1+ TDs 15 4
Games w/2+ TDs 11 0

Patrick Mahomes II’s Passing Trends

  • Patrick Mahomes II has passed for 4,720 yards (314.7 per game) while completing 66.9% of his passes (388-for-580), with 37 touchdowns and 11 interceptions.
  • Mahomes averages 8.1 yards per attempt as a passer this season, which ranks third in the NFL.
  • Mahomes’ 4,720 passing yards and 37 TDs both rank first in the league.
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Mahomes’ Rushing Trends

  • He’s also helped out on the ground, with 321 rushing yards (21.4 ypg) on 54 carries with four rushing touchdowns.
  • He averages 5.9 rushing yards per carry.

This Week’s Predictions

Mahomes (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Broncos (2022) Prediction
285.5+ Passing Yards 66.7% 22.5% 12.5% 47.6%
1+ Passing TDs 100% 77.5% 50% 84.7%
2+ Passing TDs 73.3% 40.6% 31.3% 58.7%
13.5+ Rushing Yards 60% 97.3% 100% 74.7%
1+ Rushing TDs 26.7% 36.5% 30% 28.8%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.7% 10% 3.3%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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