NFL action in Week 16 will see Jeff Wilson Jr. and the Miami Dolphins hit the field against the Green Bay Packers at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday. In this article we dig into all of Wilson’s prop bets available for this contest, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.
Jeff Wilson Jr. Player Props Vs The Packers
2022 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 7 | 4 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 4 | 1 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 0 | 0 |
Jeff Wilson Jr.’s Rushing Trends
- This season Wilson has 706 rushing yards (54.3 per game) on 136 carries with four touchdowns.
- He ranks seventh in the NFL with 5.2 rushing yards per attempt.
- Wilson’s 706 yards rank 23rd in the NFL, and his four TDs on the ground rank 28th.
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Wilson’s Receiving Trends
- He’s also tacked on 16 catches for 149 yards (11.5 per game) and one touchdown.
- So far this season, Wilson has gained 9.3 yards per reception.
This Week’s Predictions
| Wilson (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Packers (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.5+ Rushing Yards | 57.1% | 80.2% | 95.2% | 69.5% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 30.8% | 36.5% | 42.9% | 34.5% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2% |
| 7.5+ Receiving Yards | 57.1% | 95.2% | 96.6% | 71.7% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 7.7% | 22.2% | 23.7% | 13.5% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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