Week 16 NFL action will see A.J. Dillon and the Green Bay Packers take on the Miami Dolphins at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday. In this article we dig into all of Dillon’s prop bets available for this matchup, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.
A.J. Dillon Player Props Vs The Dolphins
2022 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 7 | 7 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 4 | 0 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 1 | 0 |
A.J. Dillon’s Rushing Trends
- This season Dillon has rushed for 660 yards on 154 carries (47.1 ypg), with five touchdowns.
- He averages 4.3 yards per carry (24th in NFL).
- Dillon is 30th in the league with 660 yards rushing, and his five rushing TDs rank 20th.
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Dillon’s Receiving Trends
- He’s also made an impact in the passing game, catching 26 passes for 194 yards (13.9 per game).
- Dillon is averaging 7.5 yards per catch this season, with 194 yards on 26 receptions.
This Week’s Predictions
| Dillon (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Dolphins (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.5+ Rushing Yards | 57.1% | 70.7% | 76.2% | 63.6% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 28.6% | 36.5% | 42.9% | 33.2% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% |
| 11.5+ Receiving Yards | 28.6% | 90.8% | 90% | 51.7% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 22.2% | 25% | 9% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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