The Chicago Bears and Khalil Herbert will square off against the Buffalo Bills at 1:00 PM ET on Saturday for a Week 16 NFL contest. In this article we dig into all of Herbert’s prop bets available for this contest, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.
Khalil Herbert Player Props Vs The Bills
2022 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 7 | 1 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 3 | 1 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 1 | 0 |
Khalil Herbert’s Rushing Trends
- This season Herbert has rushed for 644 yards (64.4 per game) on 108 carries with four touchdowns.
- He ranks fourth in the NFL with 6.0 rushing yards per attempt.
- Herbert’s 644 yards rank 33rd in the league, and his four TDs on the ground rank 28th.
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Herbert’s Receiving Trends
- Herbert also has six catches for 62 yards (6.2 per game) and one touchdown.
- Herbert is averaging 10.3 yards per catch this season, with 62 yards on six receptions.
This Week’s Predictions
| Herbert (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Bills (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.5+ Rushing Yards | 80% | 85.4% | 80% | 80.7% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 30% | 36.9% | 30% | 30.9% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 10% | 6.9% | 0% | 7.1% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 10% | 22.1% | 20.3% | 14.1% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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