Derrick Henry’s Tennessee Titans will take on the Houston Texans at 1:00 PM ET on Saturday in Week 16 of the 2022 NFL campaign. With prop bets in place for Henry in this outing, let’s dig into the stats and trends to help you make good predictions.
Derrick Henry Player Props Vs The Texans
2022 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 8 | 8 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 9 | 0 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 3 | 0 |
Derrick Henry’s Rushing Trends
- The team’s top rusher, Derrick Henry, has carried the ball 296 times for 1,303 yards (93.1 per game), with 12 touchdowns.
- He averages 4.4 yards per carry (24th in NFL).
- Henry’s 1,303 yards rank second in the NFL, and his 12 TDs on the ground rank third.
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Henry’s Receiving Trends
- He also averages 27.1 receiving yards per game, grabbing 30 passes for 379 yards.
- So far this season, Henry has gained 12.6 yards per reception, which ranks 40th in the NFL.
This Week’s Predictions
| Henry (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Texans (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111.5+ Rushing Yards | 35.7% | 9.6% | 20% | 28.5% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 64.3% | 36.9% | 44.0% | 55.8% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 21.4% | 6.9% | 16.0% | 18.2% |
| 12.5+ Receiving Yards | 57.1% | 88.7% | 90.6% | 69.4% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 7.1% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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