Justin Herbert: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 16 Chargers Vs Colts – December 26, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 23, 2022

Justin Herbert and his Los Angeles Chargers teammates take the field against the Indianapolis Colts in a Week 16 NFL matchup at 8:15 PM ET on Monday. Let’s dig into all of the prop bets available for Herbert’s in this matchup, using stats and trends to help you make good predictions.

Justin Herbert Player Props Vs The Colts

2022 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 6 5
Games w/1+ TDs 12 0
Games w/2+ TDs 6 0

Justin Herbert’s Passing Trends

  • Herbert has passed for 4,019 yards (287.1 per game) while completing 67.5% of his passes (407-for-603), with 21 touchdowns and nine interceptions.
  • With 4,019 yards on 603 attempts, Herbert ranks 26th in the league with 6.7 passing yards per attempt.
  • Herbert ranks 12th in the league with 21 touchdowns through the air, and sixth with 4,019 yards.
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Herbert’s Rushing Trends

  • He’s also figured in the ground game, with 145 rushing yards (10.4 ypg) on 46 carries.
  • He picks up 3.2 yards per carry (145 yards on 46 attempts).

This Week’s Predictions

Herbert (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Colts (2022) Prediction
281.5+ Passing Yards 50% 23.5% 7.1% 36%
1+ Passing TDs 85.7% 77.7% 78.6% 82.9%
2+ Passing TDs 42.9% 40.8% 42.9% 42.6%
8.5+ Rushing Yards 42.9% 98.8% 95.8% 63.1%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 36.6% 37.5% 14%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 6.6% 4.2% 1.9%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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