NFL play in Week 16 will see the Green Bay Packers and Aaron Jones match up against the Miami Dolphins at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday. Let’s dig into all of the prop bets available for Jones’ in this contest, using stats and trends to help you make good predictions.
Aaron Jones Player Props Vs The Dolphins
2022 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 6 | 6 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 2 | 4 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 0 | 1 |
Aaron Jones’ Rushing Trends
- The team’s top rusher, Jones, has carried the ball 181 times for 937 yards (66.9 per game), with two touchdowns.
- He averages 5.2 rushing yards per attempt, seventh in the league.
- Jones has racked up 937 rushing yards to rank 11th in the league, and his two TDs rushing rank 58th.
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Jones’ Receiving Trends
- He’s also hauled in 52 passes for 364 yards (26.0 per game) and five touchdowns.
- Jones’ 7.0 yards per catch average is 120th in the NFL.
This Week’s Predictions
| Jones (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Dolphins (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.5+ Rushing Yards | 42.9% | 49% | 42.9% | 43.7% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 14.3% | 36.5% | 42.9% | 24.2% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 3.2% |
| 28.5+ Receiving Yards | 28.6% | 59.1% | 53.8% | 38.7% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 28.6% | 22.2% | 25% | 26.9% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 5.2% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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