The Cincinnati Bengals and Joe Burrow will square off against the New England Patriots at 1:00 PM ET on Saturday for a Week 16 NFL contest. With prop bets in place for Burrow in this matchup, let’s dig into the stats and trends to help you make good predictions.
Joe Burrow Player Props Vs The Patriots
2022 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 6 | 6 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 14 | 5 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 10 | 0 |
Joe Burrow’s Passing Trends
- Burrow has passed for 3,885 yards (277.5 per game) while completing 68.2% of his passes (349-for-512), with 31 touchdowns and 10 interceptions.
- Burrow is averaging 7.6 yards per attempt passing this season, which ranks seventh in the league.
- Burrow ranks second in the NFL with 31 passing touchdowns, and fourth with 3,885 yards.
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Burrow’s Rushing Trends
- He has added 242 rushing yards on 68 carries with five touchdowns, averaging 17.3 yards per game.
- He averages 3.6 yards per carry (242 yards on 68 attempts).
This Week’s Predictions
| Burrow (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Patriots (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256.5+ Passing Yards | 57.1% | 33.6% | 28.6% | 47% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 100% | 77.4% | 71.4% | 90% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 71.4% | 40.9% | 42.9% | 60.5% |
| 10.5+ Rushing Yards | 42.9% | 98.4% | 95.2% | 62.9% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 35.7% | 36.9% | 23.8% | 32.9% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 6.9% | 0% | 0.9% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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