Christian McCaffrey and his San Francisco 49ers teammates hit the field against the Washington Commanders in a Week 16 NFL matchup at 4:05 PM ET on Saturday. In this piece we’ll dig into McCaffrey’s stats and trends to help you make good predictions among his prop bets for this matchup.
Christian McCaffrey Player Props Vs Commanders
2022 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 9 | 8 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 6 | 4 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 0 | 0 |
Christian McCaffrey’s Rushing Trends
- McCaffrey has taken 200 attempts for a team-leading 927 rushing yards (66.2 per game) and scored six touchdowns.
- He puts up 4.6 rushing yards per attempt, 19th in the league.
- McCaffrey’s 927 rushing yards are good for 12th in the NFL, and his six TDs on the ground rank 14th.
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McCaffrey’s Receiving Trends
- He also has 74 catches for 623 yards (44.5 ypg) and four touchdowns.
- So far this season, McCaffrey has gained 8.4 yards per reception, which ranks 111th in the league.
This Week’s Predictions
| McCaffrey (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Commanders (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81.5+ Rushing Yards | 35.7% | 24.2% | 14.3% | 28.9% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 42.9% | 36.9% | 19% | 36.2% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| 37.5+ Receiving Yards | 50% | 47.2% | 48.3% | 49.2% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 28.6% | 22.1% | 29.3% | 28% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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