The Toronto Maple Leafs (19-7-6) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (20-9-1) — who’ve won five in a row — on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET. The Maple Leafs are listed at to win on the moneyline, while the Lightning currently have odds to win this matchup. This game has an over/under set at goals.
This article references odds updated as of December 20, 2022 at 5:32 PM ET. Find all the latest odds for this outing in the table below and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Maple Leafs Vs Lightning Betting Odds
Injury Report as of December 20
Maple Leafs: Morgan Rielly: Out (Knee), Calle Jarnkrok: Probable (Groin), Jake Muzzin: Out (Neck), Jordie Benn: Questionable (Upper Body), Carl Dahlstrom: Out (Shoulder), Victor Mete: Out (Lower Body), Nicholas Robertson: Out (Shoulder)
Lightning: Mikhail Sergachev: Probable (Undisclosed), Rudolfs Balcers: Out (Upper Body)
Computer Picks
| Moneyline Pick | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (6) |
| Spread Pick | Lightning (+1.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Maple Leafs Vs Lightning Team Stats
| Maple Leafs Avg. (Rank) | Lightning Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.22 (15th) | Goals Scored | 3.67 (3rd) |
| 2.44 (2nd) | Goals Allowed | 2.83 (11th) |
| 31.5 (16th) | Shots | 31.6 (15th) |
| 29.0 (5th) | Shots Allowed | 30.5 (12th) |
Maple Leafs Key Players
| Name | GP | GOALS | ASST | PTS | SHOTS | PP GOALS | PLUS/MINUS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Marner | 32 | 12 | 25 | 37 | 81 | 2 | +3 |
| Auston Matthews | 32 | 16 | 21 | 37 | 143 | 7 | +14 |
| William Nylander | 32 | 18 | 16 | 34 | 106 | 6 | +11 |
| John Tavares | 32 | 14 | 16 | 30 | 107 | 7 | -2 |
| Michael Bunting | 32 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 55 | 0 | +17 |
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Lightning Key Players
| Name | GP | GOALS | ASST | PTS | SHOTS | PP GOALS | PLUS/MINUS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov | 30 | 12 | 34 | 46 | 108 | 5 | +3 |
| Steven Stamkos | 30 | 16 | 20 | 36 | 102 | 7 | +6 |
| Brayden Point | 30 | 16 | 15 | 31 | 91 | 5 | +4 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 28 | 5 | 21 | 26 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| Brandon Hagel | 30 | 12 | 14 | 26 | 58 | 3 | +10 |
Betting Trends
- The Maple Leafs are 14-12 when favored on the moneyline this season.
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Maple Leafs’ implied win probability is 58.5%.
- This season the Lightning have been an underdog four times, and won one of those games.
- Sportsbooks have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Lightning have a 45.9% chance to win.
- Toronto’s games this season have gone over this matchup’s total of 6 goals 16 times.
- Tampa Bay has played 20 games this season that ended with more than 6 goals.
