Lightning Vs Canadiens: NHL Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – December 17, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 16, 2022

Having won four in a row, the Tampa Bay Lightning visit the Montreal Canadiens on Saturday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET. Oddsmakers give the Canadiens +195 odds to pick up a win and list the Lightning at -240 on the moneyline for this matchup. The over/under has been set at 6.5 for this matchup.

The insights in what follows use the latest odds as of December 17, 2022 at 1:21 AM ET. Check out the table below for the latest odds for this contest and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Lightning Vs Canadiens Betting Odds

Injury Report as of December 17

Lightning: Mikhail Sergachev: Questionable (Undisclosed), Rudolfs Balcers: Out (Upper Body)

Canadiens: Carey Price: Out (Knee), Brendan Gallagher: Out (Lower Body), Paul Byron: Out (Hip), Sean Monahan: Out (Foot), Mike Matheson: Questionable (Lower Body), David Savard: Out (Upper Body), Emil Heineman: Out (Thumb)

Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Lightning
Total Pick Over (6.5)
Spread Pick Canadiens (+1.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Lightning Vs Canadiens Team Stats

Lightning Avg. (Rank) Canadiens Avg. (Rank)
3.62 (4th) Goals Scored 2.87 (25th)
2.90 (13th) Goals Allowed 3.50 (23rd)
31.8 (14th) Shots 29.0 (30th)
30.8 (12th) Shots Allowed 33.0 (25th)

Lightning Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Nikita Kucherov 29 11 33 44 105 5 +2
Steven Stamkos 29 16 18 34 100 7 +5
Brayden Point 29 16 15 31 90 5 +3
Mikhail Sergachev 28 5 21 26 48 2 +2
Brandon Hagel 29 10 13 23 55 2 +9

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Canadiens Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Nicholas Suzuki 30 14 16 30 60 5 -2
Cole Caulfield 30 18 9 27 104 4 -5
Kirby Dach 30 5 16 21 50 1 -2
Sean Monahan 25 6 11 17 55 1 -5
Christian Dvorak 30 6 7 13 47 0 -2

Betting Trends

  • The Lightning have been favored on the moneyline 25 times this season, and have gone 18-7 in those games.
  • The Lightning have an implied moneyline win probability of 70.6% in this contest.
  • The Canadiens have been an underdog in 26 games this season, and won 12 (46.2%).
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 33.9% chance of victory for the Canadiens.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 15 of 29 games this season.
  • Montreal has played 13 games this season that ended with more than 6.5 goals.
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