Justin Herbert: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 14 Chargers Vs Dolphins – December 11, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on December 10, 2022

Justin Herbert’s Los Angeles Chargers will face the Miami Dolphins at 8:20 PM ET on Sunday in Week 14 of the 2022 NFL season. In this article we take a look at all of Herbert’s prop bets available for this contest, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.

Justin Herbert Player Props Vs The Dolphins

2022 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 4 5
Games w/1+ TDs 11 0
Games w/2+ TDs 6 0

Justin Herbert’s Passing Trends

  • Justin Herbert has passed for 3,339 yards (278.3 per game) while completing 66.7% of his passes (340-for-510), with 20 touchdowns and seven interceptions.
  • Herbert is averaging 6.5 yards per attempt as a passer this season, which ranks 26th in the NFL.
  • Herbert’s 20 passing touchdowns and 3,339 yards rank seventh and fourth, respectively, in league play.
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Herbert’s Rushing Trends

  • He has added 135 rushing yards on 41 carries, averaging 11.3 yards per game.
  • He picks up 3.3 rushing yards per carry.

This Week’s Predictions

Herbert (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Dolphins (2022) Prediction
300.5+ Passing Yards 25% 17.8% 25% 24.1%
1+ Passing TDs 91.7% 78.4% 91.7% 90%
2+ Passing TDs 50% 41% 50% 48.9%
14.5+ Rushing Yards 33.3% 96.8% 94.4% 56.5%
1+ Rushing TDs 0% 36.4% 44.4% 15.6%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 7.3% 11.1% 3.7%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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