The Green Bay Packers and Aaron Jones will face the Chicago Bears at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday for a Week 13 NFL contest. In this article we take a look at all of Jones’ prop bets set for this matchup, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.
Aaron Jones Player Props Vs The Bears
2022 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 5 | 4 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 2 | 3 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 0 | 1 |
Aaron Jones’ Rushing Trends
- Jones has a team-high 821 rushing yards (68.4 per game) and two touchdowns.
- He ranks 10th in the NFL with 5.3 rushing yards per attempt.
- Jones is eighth in the league with 821 yards on the ground, and his two rushing TDs rank 52nd.
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Jones’ Receiving Trends
- He’s also tacked on 43 catches for 304 yards (25.3 per game) and four touchdowns.
- So far this season, Jones has picked up 7.1 yards per reception, which ranks 131st in the league.
This Week’s Predictions
| Jones (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Bears (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.5+ Rushing Yards | 41.7% | 45.7% | 45% | 43% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 16.7% | 36.6% | 50.0% | 27.5% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 3.4% |
| 23.5+ Receiving Yards | 41.7% | 68.4% | 58.9% | 49.3% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 25% | 22.2% | 17.9% | 22.9% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 8.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 6% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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