NFL action in Week 13 will see Patrick Mahomes II and the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Cincinnati Bengals at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday. In this article we dig into all of Mahomes’ prop bets available for this contest, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.
Patrick Mahomes II Player Props Vs The Bengals
2022 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 8 | 6 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 11 | 1 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 8 | 0 |
Patrick Mahomes II’s Passing Trends
- Mahomes has passed for 3,585 yards (325.9 per game) while completing 66.1% of his passes (292-for-442), with 29 touchdowns and eight interceptions.
- Mahomes is averaging 8.1 yards per attempt passing this season, which ranks second in the NFL.
- Mahomes is first in the league in both passing yards (3,585) and TDs (29).
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Mahomes’ Rushing Trends
- He also has 274 rushing yards on 42 carries with one touchdown, averaging 24.9 yards per game.
- He averages 6.5 yards per carry (274 yards on 42 attempts).
This Week’s Predictions
| Mahomes (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Bengals (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308.5+ Passing Yards | 63.6% | 15.6% | 0% | 41.7% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 100% | 78.5% | 72.7% | 90.5% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 72.7% | 41.3% | 9.1% | 52.9% |
| 24.5+ Rushing Yards | 54.5% | 87.7% | 87.5% | 66.9% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 9.1% | 36.6% | 25% | 16.5% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 4.1% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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