Maple Leafs Vs Red Wings: NHL Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – November 28, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on November 27, 2022

The Toronto Maple Leafs (9-5-3), winners of three games in a row, travel to face the Detroit Red Wings (7-5-4) — who’ve won four straight — on Monday at 7:00 PM ET. The most recent betting lines reveal that the Red Wings are +125 on the moneyline and the Maple Leafs are -150 to win this matchup. This matchup has an over/under of 6 goals.

This article references lines current as of November 28, 2022 at 5:14 PM ET. See all the current odds for this contest in the table below and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Maple Leafs Vs Red Wings Betting Odds

Injury Report as of November 28

Maple Leafs: Morgan Rielly: Out (Knee), T.J. Brodie: Out (Oblique), Jake Muzzin: Out (Neck), Jordie Benn: Out (Upper Body), Carl Dahlstrom: Out (Shoulder), Ilya Samsonov: Out (Knee)

Red Wings: Jakub Vrana: Out (Personal), Mark Pysyk: Out (Achilles), Robby Fabbri: Out (Knee), Matt Luff: Out (Wrist), Gustav Lindstrom: Questionable (Undisclosed), Filip Zadina: Out (Lower Body), Elmer Soderblom: Out (Lower Body)

Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Red Wings
Total Pick Under (6)
Spread Pick Red Wings (+1.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Maple Leafs Vs Red Wings Team Stats

Maple Leafs Avg. (Rank) Red Wings Avg. (Rank)
2.94 (20th) Goals Scored 2.81 (25th)
2.71 (8th) Goals Allowed 3.25 (18th)
31.4 (17th) Shots 28.9 (27th)
27.8 (5th) Shots Allowed 32.5 (18th)

Maple Leafs Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Mitchell Marner 23 6 21 27 53 0 +3
John Tavares 23 12 13 25 75 7 0
Auston Matthews 23 10 14 24 98 6 +5
William Nylander 23 12 11 23 66 4 +5
Morgan Rielly 20 0 16 16 34 0 -2

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Red Wings Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Dylan Larkin 20 9 14 23 71 4 +9
Dominik Kubalik 20 9 12 21 54 4 +4
Filip Hronek 20 6 12 18 46 2 +10
David Perron 20 6 10 16 53 2 +5
Lucas Raymond 20 6 8 14 38 3 +2

Betting Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have gone 9-10 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Maple Leafs have an implied win probability of 60.0%.
  • This season the Red Wings have been an underdog 11 times, and won six, or 54.5%, of those games.
  • The Red Wings have a 44.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • In 11 of 23 matches this season, Toronto and its opponent have combined for more than 6 goals.
  • Detroit has combined with its opponent to score more than 6 goals in 12 of 20 games this season.
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