Patrick Mahomes II: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 12 Chiefs Vs Rams – November 27, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on November 24, 2022

NFL play in Week 12 will see the Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes II face the Los Angeles Rams at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday. Let’s dig into all of the prop bets available for Mahomes’ in this matchup, using stats and trends to help you make good predictions.

Patrick Mahomes II Player Props Vs The Rams

2022 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 7 5
Games w/1+ TDs 10 1
Games w/2+ TDs 8 0

Patrick Mahomes II’s Passing Trends

  • Mahomes has passed for 3,265 yards (326.5 per game) while completing 66.2% of his passes (265-for-400), with 28 touchdowns and seven interceptions.
  • Mahomes averages 8.2 yards per attempt this season, which ranks fifth in the league.
  • Mahomes’ 3,265 passing yards and 28 TDs both rank first in the league.
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Mahomes’ Rushing Trends

  • He’s tacked on 238 rushing yards on 38 carries and one rushing touchdown, averaging 23.8 yards per game.
  • He averages 6.3 rushing yards per carry.

This Week’s Predictions

Mahomes (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Rams (2022) Prediction
283.5+ Passing Yards 70% 23.3% 20% 51.7%
1+ Passing TDs 100% 77.6% 70% 89.7%
2+ Passing TDs 80% 41.5% 40% 65.2%
12.5+ Rushing Yards 70% 97.7% 100% 81%
1+ Rushing TDs 10% 36.7% 33.3% 19.2%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 7.6% 6.7% 2.6%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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