Nick Chubb: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 11 Browns Vs Bills – November 20, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on November 19, 2022

NFL action in Week 11 at Highmark Stadium will see the Cleveland Browns and Nick Chubb hit the field against the Buffalo Bills at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday. Let’s examine all of the prop bets available for Chubb’s in this matchup, using stats and trends to help you make good predictions.

Nick Chubb Player Props Vs The Bills

2022 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 7 5
Games w/1+ TDs 7 0
Games w/2+ TDs 3 0

Nick Chubb’s Rushing Trends

  • Chubb has taken 160 carries for a team-leading 904 rushing yards (100.4 per game) and scored 11 touchdowns.
  • He averages 5.7 rushing yards per attempt, 10th in the NFL.
  • Chubb is third in the league with 904 yards on the ground, and his 11 rushing TDs rank first.
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Chubb’s Receiving Trends

  • He also has 88 receiving yards (9.8 per game) on 13 catches.
  • So far this season, Chubb has gained 6.8 yards per reception.

This Week’s Predictions

Chubb (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Bills (2022) Prediction
74.5+ Rushing Yards 77.8% 29% 21.4% 57.6%
1+ Rushing TDs 77.8% 37.1% 28.6% 60.4%
2+ Rushing TDs 33.3% 7.9% 0% 21.8%
8.5+ Receiving Yards 55.6% 94.7% 97.6% 71%
1+ Receiving TDs 0% 22.2% 17.1% 7%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3% 0% 0.4%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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