David Montgomery: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For Week 11 Bears Vs Falcons – November 20, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on November 18, 2022

Week 11 NFL action will see David Montgomery and the Chicago Bears take on the Atlanta Falcons at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday. Let’s examine all of the prop bets available for Montgomery’s in this contest, using stats and trends to help you make good predictions.

David Montgomery Player Props Vs The Falcons

2022 Betting Outcomes

Rushing Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 4 3
Games w/1+ TDs 2 0
Games w/2+ TDs 0 0

David Montgomery’s Rushing Trends

  • Montgomery has 434 yards on 115 carries (48.2 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • He ranks 51st in the NFL with 3.8 rushing yards per attempt.
  • Montgomery’s 434 rushing yards are good for 31st in the league, and his two TDs rushing rank 44th.
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Montgomery’s Receiving Trends

  • He’s also tacked on 15 catches for 150 yards (16.7 per game).
  • Montgomery is averaging 10.0 yards per catch this season, with 150 yards on 15 receptions.

This Week’s Predictions

Montgomery (2022) League AVG (2022) vs Falcons (2022) Prediction
68.5+ Rushing Yards 10% 33.8% 23.1% 16.2%
1+ Rushing TDs 22.2% 37.1% 53.8% 32%
2+ Rushing TDs 0% 7.9% 7.7% 2.9%
13.5+ Receiving Yards 40% 87.6% 94.4% 59.6%
1+ Receiving TDs 0% 22.2% 20.4% 7.9%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 3% 7.4% 2.2%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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