NFL action in Week 11 will see the Washington Commanders and Taylor Heinicke match up against the Houston Texans at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday. Let’s break down Heinicke’s prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this matchup to help you come up with good predictions.
Taylor Heinicke Player Props Vs The Texans
2022 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 1 | 2 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 3 | 1 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 2 | 0 |
Taylor Heinicke’s Passing Trends
- Heinicke has passed for 840 yards (210.0 per game) while completing 62% of his passes (75-for-121), with five touchdowns and four interceptions.
- With 840 yards on 121 attempts, Heinicke ranks 19th in the league with 6.9 passing yards per attempt.
- Heinicke ranks 36th in the league in passing yards (840) and 30th in passing touchdowns (five).
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Heinicke’s Rushing Trends
- He’s also helped out on the ground, with 60 rushing yards (15.0 ypg) on 17 carries with one rushing touchdown.
- He picks up 3.5 yards per carry (60 yards on 17 attempts).
This Week’s Predictions
| Heinicke (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Texans (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214.5+ Passing Yards | 10% | 59.7% | 75% | 32.5% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 75% | 78.9% | 75% | 75.5% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 50% | 41.3% | 37.5% | 45.8% |
| 11.5+ Rushing Yards | 20% | 98% | 100% | 49.8% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 25% | 37.1% | 46.7% | 31.9% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 7.9% | 26.7% | 7.7% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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