Week 11 NFL action will see Marcus Mariota and the Atlanta Falcons hit the field against the Chicago Bears at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday. In this piece we’ll break down Mariota’s stats and trends to help you make good predictions among his prop bets for this matchup.
Marcus Mariota Player Props Vs The Bears
2022 Betting Outcomes
| Passing | Rushing | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 3 | 5 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 7 | 3 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 4 | 0 |
Marcus Mariota’s Passing Trends
- Mariota has passed for 1,747 yards (174.7 per game) while completing 61.9% of his passes (143-for-231), with 12 touchdowns and seven interceptions.
- With 1,747 yards on 231 attempts, Mariota ranks 10th in the league with 7.6 passing yards per attempt.
- Mariota is 22nd in the NFL in passing yards (1,747) and 14th in touchdowns (12).
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Mariota’s Rushing Trends
- He has tacked on 347 rushing yards on 63 carries with three touchdowns, averaging 34.7 yards per game.
- He picks up 5.5 rushing yards per attempt, 12th in the NFL.
This Week’s Predictions
| Mariota (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Bears (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 171.5+ Passing Yards | 50% | 83.6% | 77.8% | 61.2% |
| 1+ Passing TDs | 70% | 78.9% | 77.8% | 73.1% |
| 2+ Passing TDs | 40% | 41.3% | 33.3% | 38.5% |
| 34.5+ Rushing Yards | 50% | 76% | 75% | 59.5% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 30% | 37.1% | 56.3% | 37.5% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 4.1% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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