Week 11 of the NFL season features Aaron Jones and the Green Bay Packers facing the Tennessee Titans at 8:15 PM ET on Thursday. In this article we take a look at all of Jones’ prop bets set for this contest, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.
Aaron Jones Player Props Vs The Titans
2022 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 5 | 3 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 2 | 2 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 0 | 1 |
Aaron Jones’ Rushing Trends
- Jones’ team-high 738 rushing yards (73.8 per game) have come on 131 carries, with two touchdowns.
- He averages 5.6 rushing yards per attempt, 11th in the NFL.
- Jones is seventh in the league with 738 yards rushing, and his two rushing TDs rank 44th.
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Jones’ Receiving Trends
- He has added 34 catches for 228 yards (22.8 per game) and three touchdowns.
- So far this season, Jones has racked up 6.7 yards per reception, which ranks 159th in the league.
This Week’s Predictions
| Jones (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Titans (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.5+ Rushing Yards | 50% | 46.1% | 30% | 44.5% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 20% | 37.1% | 10% | 19.6% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 7.9% | 0% | 1% |
| 23.5+ Receiving Yards | 40% | 68.8% | 76% | 52.6% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 20% | 22.2% | 20% | 20.3% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 10% | 2.9% | 6% | 8.1% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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