NFL action in Week 11 will see the Tennessee Titans and Derrick Henry match up against the Green Bay Packers at 8:15 PM ET on Thursday. In this article we break down all of Henry’s prop bets available for this contest, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.
Derrick Henry Player Props Vs The Packers
2022 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 6 | 4 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 6 | 0 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 3 | 0 |
Derrick Henry’s Rushing Trends
- Henry has churned out a team-high 923 rushing yards (102.6 per game) and scored nine touchdowns.
- He averages 4.6 yards per carry (31st in league).
- Henry’s 923 rushing yards and nine TDs both rank second in the NFL.
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Henry’s Receiving Trends
- He also has 16 receptions for 154 yards (17.1 per game).
- Henry is averaging 9.6 yards per catch this season, with 154 yards on 16 receptions.
This Week’s Predictions
| Henry (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Packers (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99.5+ Rushing Yards | 55.6% | 14.7% | 20% | 41.6% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 66.7% | 37.1% | 33.3% | 54.6% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 33.3% | 7.9% | 0% | 21.8% |
| 11.5+ Receiving Yards | 44.4% | 91% | 93% | 62.4% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 22.2% | 23.3% | 8.6% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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