Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – April 17, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 17, 2024

The Tampa Bay Lightning (44-29-8) host the Toronto Maple Leafs (46-25-10) on Wednesday, April 17, with both teams coming off a defeat in their last game. Lightning (-144) versus Maple Leafs (+120) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

The insights in the article below reflect odds as of April 17, 2024 at 3:15 PM ET. See below the latest odds for this game and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: TB: (-144) | TOR: (+120)
  • Puck line: TB: -1.5 (166) | TOR: +1.5 (-205)
  • Total: 6.5 — Over: (-121) | Under: (-102)

Injury Report as of April 17

Lightning: Mikhail Sergachev: Leg (Out), Brent Seabrook: Shoulder/Back/Hip (Out), Logan Brown: Undisclosed (Out), Haydn Fleury: Undisclosed (Questionable), Jonas Johansson: Lower Body (Questionable), Tyler Motte: Lower Body (Questionable)

Maple Leafs: Calle Jarnkrok: Hand (Out), Jake Muzzin: Neck (Out), Matt Murray: Hip (Out), John Klingberg: Hip (Out), Bobby McMann: Lower Body (Out), Max Domi: Undisclosed (Questionable)

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Lightning
Total Pick Over (6.5)
Spread Pick Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Team Stats

Lightning Avg. (Rank) Maple Leafs Avg. (Rank)
3.49 (5th) Goals Scored 3.63 (2nd)
3.25 (22nd) Goals Allowed 3.15 (18th)
29.2 (21st) Shots 32.5 (7th)
29.6 (11th) Shots Allowed 29.8 (14th)

Lightning Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Nikita Kucherov 80 43 99 142 302 13 +10
Brayden Point 80 45 44 89 224 14 -14
Steven Stamkos 78 40 39 79 259 19 -22
Victor Hedman 78 13 63 76 168 4 +18
Brandon Hagel 81 25 48 73 183 2 +1

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Maple Leafs Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Auston Matthews 80 69 38 107 359 18 +32
William Nylander 81 40 57 97 311 11 +3
Mitchell Marner 68 26 59 85 158 8 +22
John Tavares 79 28 36 64 276 9 +1
Morgan Rielly 72 7 51 58 174 1 +7

Betting Trends

  • The Lightning have compiled a 30-20 record when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
  • The Lightning have a 59.0% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • This season the Maple Leafs have been an underdog 16 times, and won seven, or 43.8%, of those games.
  • Oddsmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Maple Leafs have a 45.5% chance to win.
  • Tampa Bay’s games this season have gone over this matchup’s total of 6.5 goals 40 times.
  • Toronto has played 45 games this season with over 6.5 goals.

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