Lightning vs. Senators Prediction: Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – April 11, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 10, 2024

The Tampa Bay Lightning got a hat trick from Steven Stamkos last time out, and now will host the Ottawa Senators on Thursday, April 11. The oddsmakers have made the Lightning solid favorites at -178 on the moneyline, and the Senators are at +146.

The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of April 11, 2024 at 3:13 PM ET. Check out the article below for the latest odds for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Lightning vs. Senators Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: TB: (-178) | OTT: (+146)
  • Puck line: TB: -1.5 (134) | OTT: +1.5 (-163)
  • Total: 6.5 — Over: (-130) | Under: (+106)

Injury Report as of April 11

Lightning: Brent Seabrook: Shoulder/Back/Hip (Out), Mikhail Sergachev: Leg (Out), Haydn Fleury: Undisclosed (Questionable), Jonas Johansson: Lower Body (Questionable), Anthony Duclair: Illness (Out), Logan Brown: Undisclosed (Out)

Senators: Travis Hamonic: Lower Body (Questionable), Kubalik Dominik: Undisclosed (Questionable), Angus Crookshank: Lower Body (Questionable), Tim Stuetzle: Upper Body (Out), Matthew Highmore: Upper Body (Out), Joshua Norris: Upper Body (Out)

Lightning vs. Senators Predictions & Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Lightning
Total Pick Over (6.5)
Spread Pick Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning vs. Senators Team Stats

Lightning Avg. (Rank) Senators Avg. (Rank)
3.55 (5th) Goals Scored 3.09 (15th)
3.24 (22nd) Goals Allowed 3.46 (28th)
29.1 (22nd) Shots 31.9 (10th)
29.5 (10th) Shots Allowed 29.6 (12th)

Lightning Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Nikita Kucherov 77 43 96 139 298 13 +9
Brayden Point 77 44 42 86 212 14 -14
Steven Stamkos 75 39 38 77 242 19 -20
Victor Hedman 75 13 63 76 158 4 +18
Brandon Hagel 78 24 48 72 177 2 +5

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Senators Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Tim Stützle 75 18 52 70 192 1 -17
Brady Tkachuk 77 34 34 68 339 10 0
Drake Batherson 78 27 35 62 181 7 -10
Claude Giroux 78 21 40 61 175 3 -14
Jakob Chychrun 78 13 26 39 195 7 -28

Betting Trends

  • The Lightning have gone 30-17 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
  • The Lightning have a 64.0% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • This season the Senators have been an underdog 48 times, and won 19, or 39.6%, of those games.
  • The moneyline in this outing implies a 40.7% chance of victory for the Senators.
  • Tampa Bay’s 78 matches this season have finished above this game’s total of 6.5 goals 40 times.
  • Ottawa has combined with its opponent to score more than 6.5 goals in 43 of 78 games this season.

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