Aaron Nesmith will hope to make a difference for the Indiana Pacers when they take on the Miami Heat at 5:00 PM ET on Sunday. Nesmith posts 12.2 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. Defensively, he puts up 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
In this article we break down all of Nesmith’s prop bets set for this matchup, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.
The betting trends in this article are based off odds valid as of April 7, 2024 at 3:34 PM ET. Check out DraftKings Sportsbook to find the latest odds and get the best deposit bonus using our link!
Aaron Nesmith Prop Bets (April 7)
- Points Prop: Over 12.5 (-115)
- Rebounds Prop: Over 4.5 (+113)
- Three-Pointers Made Prop: Over 2 (-125)
Nesmith Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | BLK | STL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/5/2024 | Thunder | 25 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| 4/3/2024 | Nets | 27 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4/1/2024 | Nets | 25 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3/29/2024 | Lakers | 39 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 3/27/2024 | Bulls | 27 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 3/24/2024 | Lakers | 26 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| 3/22/2024 | Warriors | 35 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 3/20/2024 | Pistons | 25 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 3/18/2024 | Cavaliers | 35 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3/16/2024 | Nets | 25 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
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Scoring Prop Insights
- Nesmith’s 12.2 points per game average is 0.3 less than Sunday’s over/under.
- In the 68 games he’s appeared in this season, his point total has gone over 12.5 points 32 times.
- So far this season, Nesmith is 27-for-64 at going over the total set for his points prop.
- He has averaged the same number of three-pointers per game as his over/under on Sunday (2.0).
- Nesmith has hit more than two treys in 23 of his 68 games so far this season.
- Defensively, the Heat are third in the league, conceding 108.4 points per game.
Nesmith vs. Heat
| Date | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | BLK | STL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/2/2023 | 28 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 11/30/2023 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Bet On Pacers vs. Heat
- Favorite: Heat (-2)
- Total: 227
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