Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction: Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – April 3, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on April 2, 2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning are coming off a win and a defeat, respectively, heading into their meeting at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday at 7:00 PM ET. Maple Leafs (-119) versus Lightning (-103) looks pretty even, according to the moneyline odds.

The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of April 3, 2024 at 3:19 PM ET. Check out the article below for the latest odds for this game and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: TOR: (-119) | TB: (-103)
  • Puck line: TOR: -1.5 (196) | TB: +1.5 (-248)
  • Total: 6.5 — Over: (-121) | Under: (-101)

Injury Report as of April 3

Maple Leafs: Morgan Rielly: Upper Body (Probable), John Klingberg: Hip (Out), Calle Jarnkrok: Hand (Out), Jake Muzzin: Neck (Out), Joel Edmundson: Undisclosed (Out), Timothy Liljegren: Upper Body (Out), Matt Murray: Hip (Out), Mitchell Marner: Ankle (Out)

Lightning: Brent Seabrook: Shoulder/Back/Hip (Out), Logan Brown: Undisclosed (Out), Jonas Johansson: Lower Body (Out), Mikhail Sergachev: Leg (Out)

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Predictions & Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Maple Leafs
Total Pick Over (6.5)
Spread Pick Lightning (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Team Stats

Maple Leafs Avg. (Rank) Lightning Avg. (Rank)
3.65 (2nd) Goals Scored 3.47 (5th)
3.09 (17th) Goals Allowed 3.26 (22nd)
32.7 (7th) Shots 29.0 (22nd)
29.9 (15th) Shots Allowed 29.5 (10th)

Maple Leafs Key Players

Auston Matthews 73 62 36 98 324 15 +32
William Nylander 74 40 55 95 289 11 +6
Mitchell Marner 62 25 51 76 145 7 +20
John Tavares 72 24 34 58 249 8 +2
Morgan Rielly 65 7 44 51 166 1 +8

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Lightning Key Players

Nikita Kucherov 73 42 85 127 288 12 +5
Brayden Point 73 42 40 82 201 14 -15
Victor Hedman 71 12 59 71 149 4 +16
Steven Stamkos 71 31 36 67 225 16 -24
Brandon Hagel 74 23 44 67 164 2 +2

Betting Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have won 61.0% of their games this season when favored on the moneyline (36-23).
  • The Maple Leafs have a 54.3% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • The Lightning have been an underdog in 30 games this season, and won 13 (43.3%).
  • The moneyline for this matchup implies a 50.7% chance of victory for the Lightning.
  • In 41 of 74 matches this season, Toronto and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.
  • Tampa Bay has played 37 games this season with more than 6.5 goals.

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