The Buffalo Sabres (35-34-5) will host the Toronto Maple Leafs (41-22-9) on Saturday, with Tage Thompson coming off four goals in the Sabres’ most recent game. The oddsmakers have made the Maple Leafs solid favorites at -153 on the moneyline, despite being away from home, and the Sabres are at +126.
The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of March 30, 2024 at 3:18 PM ET. Check out the article below for the latest odds for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Betting Odds
- Moneyline: TOR: (-153) | BUF: (+126)
- Puck line: TOR: -1.5 (157) | BUF: +1.5 (-196)
- Total: 6.5 — Over: (-108) | Under: (-113)
Injury Report as of March 30
Maple Leafs: John Klingberg: Hip (Out), Timothy Liljegren: Upper Body (Out), Morgan Rielly: Upper Body (Out), Joel Edmundson: Undisclosed (Out), Matt Murray: Hip (Out), Mitchell Marner: Ankle (Out), Calle Jarnkrok: Hand (Out), Jake Muzzin: Neck (Out)
Sabres: Lukas Rousek: Upper Body (Questionable), Mattias Samuelsson: Upper Body (Out)
Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Predictions & Computer Picks
| Moneyline Pick | Sabres |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Under (6.5) |
| Spread Pick | Sabres (+1.5) |
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Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Team Stats
| Maple Leafs Avg. (Rank) | Sabres Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.63 (3rd) | Goals Scored | 2.99 (21st) |
| 3.13 (18th) | Goals Allowed | 3.01 (16th) |
| 33.0 (6th) | Shots | 31.1 (14th) |
| 29.9 (15th) | Shots Allowed | 29.4 (8th) |
Maple Leafs Key Players
| Name | GP | GOALS | ASST | PTS | SHOTS | PP GOALS | PLUS/MINUS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 71 | 59 | 35 | 94 | 317 | 15 | +28 |
| William Nylander | 72 | 40 | 54 | 94 | 287 | 11 | +4 |
| Mitchell Marner | 62 | 25 | 51 | 76 | 145 | 7 | +20 |
| John Tavares | 70 | 23 | 34 | 57 | 244 | 8 | +1 |
| Morgan Rielly | 65 | 7 | 44 | 51 | 166 | 1 | +8 |
How to Bet on Maple Leafs vs. Sabres
Sabres Key Players
| Name | GP | GOALS | ASST | PTS | SHOTS | PP GOALS | PLUS/MINUS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Dahlin | 73 | 17 | 36 | 53 | 213 | 5 | -6 |
| Alex Tuch | 67 | 19 | 32 | 51 | 166 | 2 | +6 |
| Tage Thompson | 63 | 26 | 23 | 49 | 226 | 8 | -3 |
| John-Jason Peterka | 74 | 26 | 20 | 46 | 197 | 2 | +11 |
| Jeff Skinner | 66 | 24 | 21 | 45 | 195 | 8 | -2 |
Betting Trends
- The Maple Leafs have been favored on the moneyline 58 times this season, and have finished 35-23 in those games.
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Maple Leafs’ implied win probability is 60.5%.
- The Sabres have been an underdog in 47 games this season, and won 19 (40.4%).
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 44.2% chance of victory for the Sabres.
- Toronto and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 40 of 72 games this season.
- Buffalo has played 30 games this season that ended with over 6.5 goals.
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