Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Prediction: Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – March 28, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 27, 2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Washington Capitals — the former coming off a defeat, the latter a win — will meet on Thursday at 7:00 PM ET, at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. The Capitals are underdogs away from home, at +145, and the Maple Leafs are -177.

The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of March 28, 2024 at 3:16 PM ET. See below the latest odds for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: TOR: (-177) | WAS: (+145)
  • Puck line: TOR: -1.5 (140) | WAS: +1.5 (-172)
  • Total: 6.5 — Over: (-101) | Under: (-120)

Injury Report as of March 28

Maple Leafs: John Klingberg: Hip (Out), Mark Giordano: Head (Out), Calle Jarnkrok: Hand (Out), Jake Muzzin: Neck (Out), Morgan Rielly: Upper Body (Questionable), Ilya Samsonov: Calf (Questionable), Mitchell Marner: Ankle (Out), Auston Matthews: Illness (Questionable), Matt Murray: Hip (Out)

Capitals: Tom Wilson: Suspension (Out), Nicklas Backstrom: Hip (Out), Sonny Milano: Upper Body (Questionable), Ethan Bear: Personal (Out)

Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Predictions & Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Maple Leafs
Total Pick Under (6.5)
Spread Pick Maple Leafs (-1.5)

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Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Team Stats

Maple Leafs Avg. (Rank) Capitals Avg. (Rank)
3.61 (3rd) Goals Scored 2.73 (27th)
3.15 (19th) Goals Allowed 3.10 (18th)
32.7 (7th) Shots 26.8 (31st)
29.9 (14th) Shots Allowed 30.5 (21st)

Maple Leafs Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
William Nylander 71 40 54 94 282 11 +3
Auston Matthews 70 59 34 93 307 15 +27
Mitchell Marner 62 25 51 76 145 7 +20
John Tavares 69 23 33 56 239 8 0
Morgan Rielly 65 7 44 51 166 1 +8

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Capitals Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Dylan Strome 71 25 35 60 146 5 -8
Alexander Ovechkin 68 26 32 58 241 12 -17
John Carlson 71 7 38 45 145 4 -4
Connor McMichael 69 17 15 32 121 2 -13
Tom Wilson 66 17 15 32 152 5 -20

Betting Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have compiled a 34-23 record when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Maple Leafs a 63.9% chance to win.
  • This season the Capitals have won 22 of the 52 games, or 42.3%, in which they’ve been an underdog.
  • Sportsbooks have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Capitals have a 40.8% chance to win.
  • Toronto and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 40 of 71 games this season.
  • Washington has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 30 of 71 games this season.

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