On Saturday at Spectrum Center in the second round of the NCAA tournament, the North Carolina Tar Heels will face the Michigan State Spartans — with RJ Davis and Tyson Walker as the players to watch — tipping off at 5:30 PM ET. Saturday’s game between the Tar Heels and the Spartans features the Tar Heels as 4-point favorites. A 141.5-point over/under is set for the matchup.
North Carolina vs. Michigan State Betting Lines
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | -4 | 141.5 points |
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Michigan State (+4) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (141.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score. Ready to put your picks to the test for this matchup? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook and sign up using our link for the best first-time depositor bonus!
North Carolina vs. Michigan State Stat Rankings
| North Carolina Avg. (Rank) | Michigan State Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 81.7 (20th) | Points Scored | 73.0 (192nd) |
| 70.0 (112th) | Points Allowed | 65.5 (19th) |
| (1st) | Rebounds | (1st) |
| 11.1 (38th) | Off. Rebounds | 9.4 (139th) |
| 8.0 (120th) | 3pt Made | 6.5 (262nd) |
| 14.5 (92nd) | Assists | 16.2 (26th) |
| 9.9 (61st) | Turnovers | 9.4 (30th) |
North Carolina vs. Michigan State Betting Trends
- The Tar Heels have beaten the spread 20 times in 35 games.
- As 4-point favorites or more, North Carolina is 13-12 against the spread.
- This season, 17 of the Tar Heels’ 35 games have gone over the point total.
- A total of 28 times so far this year, North Carolina and its opponent have combined to score more than 141.5 points.
- Tar Heels games average 151.7 total points this season, 10.2 points less than the over/under for this matchup.
- Michigan State’s record against the spread is 19-14-1.
- As a 4-point underdog or greater, the Spartans have two wins ATS (2-2).
- There have been 17 North Carolina’s games (out of 35) that went over the total this year.
- So far this year, 16 Spartans games have featured more than 141.5 points scored.
- The over/under for this game is 3.0 points higher than the average scoring total for Michigan State’s games (138.5).
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North Carolina Impact Players
- Davis registers a team-best 21.4 points per contest. He is also posting 3.7 rebounds and 3.5 assists, shooting 43.5% from the field and 41.0% from downtown with 3.1 made 3-pointers per game.
- Armando Bacot puts up a team-high 10.3 rebounds per game. In addition, he’s registering 14.3 points and 1.5 assists, shooting 54.8% from the field.
- Harrison Ingram averages 12.1 points, 8.9 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game, shooting 42.7% from the field and 37.2% from beyond the arc with 1.7 made 3-pointers per contest.
- Cormac Ryan is averaging 11.3 points, 1.3 assists and 2.7 rebounds per game.
- Elliot Cadeau is tops on his squad in assists per game (4.1), and also posts 7.3 points and 2.3 rebounds. Defensively, he puts up 0.8 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
Michigan State Impact Players
- Walker paces the Spartans in scoring (18.2 points per game), and posts 2.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists. He also averages 1.9 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
- A.J Hoggard is registering a team-leading 5.3 assists per game. He’s also delivering 10.9 points and 3.1 rebounds, hitting 41.7% of his shots from the floor.
- Malik Hall is posting a team-best 5.6 rebounds per contest. And he is delivering 12.5 points and 1.9 assists, making 52.3% of his shots from the field.
- Jaden Akins is putting up 10.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest, making 41.1% of his shots from the field and 35.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 treys per game.
- The Spartans get 5.8 points, 1.6 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game from Tre Holloman.
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