Oilers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – March 23, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 22, 2024

The Edmonton Oilers (42-21-4) visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (39-20-9) on Saturday, March 23, with both teams coming off a win. The bookmakers have made the Oilers solid favorites at -137 on the moneyline, despite being away from home, and the Maple Leafs are at +114.

The betting trends in what follows use the latest odds as of March 23, 2024 at 3:14 PM ET. See below the latest odds for this outing and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: EDM: (-137) | TOR: (+114)
  • Puck line: EDM: -1.5 (170) | TOR: +1.5 (-213)
  • Total: 6.5 — Over: (-123) | Under: (+100)

Injury Report as of March 23

Oilers: None

Maple Leafs: Jake Muzzin: Neck (Out), Matt Murray: Hip (Out), Mark Giordano: Head (Out), John Klingberg: Hip (Out), Calle Jarnkrok: Hand (Out), Ryan Reaves: Eye (Questionable), Tyler Bertuzzi: Illness (Questionable), Mitchell Marner: Ankle (Out), Ilya Lyubushkin: Illness (Out)

Oilers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Maple Leafs
Total Pick Over (6.5)
Spread Pick Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Oilers vs. Maple Leafs Team Stats

Oilers Avg. (Rank) Maple Leafs Avg. (Rank)
3.58 (4th) Goals Scored 3.62 (2nd)
2.82 (8th) Goals Allowed 3.13 (18th)
33.7 (2nd) Shots 32.6 (8th)
28.5 (5th) Shots Allowed 29.7 (13th)

Oilers Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Connor McDavid 65 26 86 112 223 6 +31
Leon Draisaitl 67 35 55 90 188 18 +23
Evan Bouchard 67 15 52 67 180 6 +28
Zach Hyman 66 48 19 67 241 13 +32
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 66 16 43 59 147 3 +11

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Maple Leafs Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
William Nylander 68 38 53 91 270 10 +2
Auston Matthews 67 57 32 89 287 15 +25
Mitchell Marner 62 25 51 76 145 7 +20
John Tavares 66 23 31 54 231 8 0
Morgan Rielly 63 7 43 50 164 1 +5

Betting Trends

  • The Oilers have a 38-20 record when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Oilers have an implied win probability of 57.8%.
  • This season the Maple Leafs have won five of the 12 games, or 41.7%, in which they’ve been an underdog.
  • The Maple Leafs have a 46.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Edmonton’s games this season have gone over this matchup’s total of 6.5 goals 31 times.
  • Toronto has played 38 games this season that ended with more than 6.5 goals.

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