March Madness First Round Predictions & Picks Today – March 21

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 21, 2024

The Thursday NCAA Tournament slate has plenty of exciting matchups in store. Among those contests is the Colorado State Rams playing the Texas Longhorns. Here’s a look at the best bets for all of day’s NCAA action.

Scroll down to find the best spread, total, and moneyline bets in college basketball based on our computer projections and make your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Spread Pick: Colorado State (+3) vs. UT

The model line is much more favorable to Colorado State compared to the DraftKings line, a 4.4 point difference, and has them favored to win Thursday’s game outright. Put your money on Colorado State.

Read a full preview of this game here.

Colorado State Texas
ATS Record 17-16-0 12-20-0
Favorite ATS Record 14-11-0 7-14-0
Underdog ATS Record 3-4-0 5-6-0
Home ATS Record 8-7-0 7-11-0
Away ATS Record 4-7-0 4-6-0
Conference ATS Record 8-13-0 8-11-0

Want to bet on Colorado State to cover in this game? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your bet!

Total Pick: Michigan State vs. Mississippi State Over (130.5)

The DraftKings point total for this game is significantly lower (10.9 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.

Check out full preview of this game here.

Mississippi State Michigan State
O-U-P 15-19-1 13-20-0
Home O-U-P 8-7-0 8-7-0
Away O-U-P 5-5-0 2-9-0
Conference O-U-P 10-11-0 7-14-0

Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook to bet on this matchup’s over/under!

Moneyline Pick: Colorado State (+136) vs. UT (-162)

Score Prediction: Colorado State 73, Texas 72

Colorado State Texas
ML Fave. Record 20-4 10-5
ML Und. Record 2-6 4-7
Home ML Fave. Record 12-2 8-3
Home ML Und. Record 0-0 0-1
Away ML Fave. Record 4-2 0-1
Away ML Und. Record 0-5 4-5
Conf. ML Fave. Record 11-3 5-5
Conf. ML Und. Record 1-6 4-5

Who do you think will take home the victory? Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook and make your pick!

Today’s First Round Schedule

Matchup Game Time TV Favorite Total
Michigan State (20-14) vs Mississippi State (21-14) 12:15 PM ET CBS Michigan State (-1.5) 130.5
Duquesne (25-11) vs No. 21 BYU (23-11) 12:40 PM ET truT BYU (-9) 141.5
Akron (24-11) vs No. 11 Creighton (24-9) 1:30 PM ET TNT Creighton (-11.5) 143.5
Long Beach State (21-15) vs No. 9 Arizona (26-8) 2:00 PM ET TBS Arizona (-20.5) 163
Wagner (17-16) vs No. 5 North Carolina (28-7) 2:47 PM ET CBS North Carolina (-25.5) 133.5
Morehead State (26-9) vs No. 10 Illinois (27-8) 3:10 PM ET truT Illinois (-11) 147
Oregon (24-11) vs No. 16 South Carolina (26-8) 4:00 PM ET TNT Oregon (-2.5) 135.5
Nevada (26-8) vs Dayton (25-7) 4:30 PM ET TBS Nevada (-1.5) 137
Colorado State (25-10) vs Texas (20-12) 6:50 PM ET TNT Texas (-3) 143
Oakland (23-11) vs No. 12 Kentucky (23-9) 7:10 PM ET CBS Kentucky (-13) 160
McNeese (30-3) vs No. 18 Gonzaga (25-7) 7:25 PM ET TBS Gonzaga (-7) 149
South Dakota State (22-12) vs No. 4 Iowa State (27-7) 7:35 PM ET truT Iowa State (-16) 135.5
Saint Peter’s (19-13) vs No. 6 Tennessee (24-8) 9:20 PM ET TNT Tennessee (-22) 130.5
NC State (22-14) vs No. 22 Texas Tech (23-10) 9:40 PM ET CBS Texas Tech (-5) 146.5
Samford (29-5) vs No. 17 Kansas (22-10) 9:55 PM ET TBS Kansas (-7.5) 153.5
Drake (28-6) vs No. 25 Washington State (24-9) 10:05 PM ET truT Drake (-1) 138.5

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