Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Prediction: Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – March 9, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 8, 2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Montreal Canadiens — both coming off defeats — will play on Saturday at 7:00 PM ET, at Bell Centre in Montréal. Maple Leafs (-194) at Canadiens (+158) appears like a mismatch, according to the moneyline odds.

The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of March 9, 2024 at 3:13 PM ET. Head to the article below for the latest lines for this contest and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: TOR: (-194) | MON: (+158)
  • Puck line: TOR: -1.5 (126) | MON: +1.5 (-155)
  • Total: 6.5 — Over: (-116) | Under: (-106)

Injury Report as of March 9

Maple Leafs: Jake Muzzin: Neck (Out), Joel Edmundson: Trade (Questionable), Matthew Knies: Undisclosed (Probable), Conor Timmins: Illness (Out), Mitchell Marner: Lower Body (Out), Matt Murray: Hip (Out), Mark Giordano: Head (Out), John Klingberg: Hip (Out)

Canadiens: Johnathan Kovacevic: Undisclosed (Questionable), Chris Wideman: Back (Out), Colin White: Upper Body (Out), Kirby Dach: Knee (Out), Christian Dvorak: Pectoral (Out), Carey Price: Knee (Out)

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Predictions & Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Maple Leafs
Total Pick Over (6.5)
Spread Pick Canadiens (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Team Stats

Maple Leafs Avg. (Rank) Canadiens Avg. (Rank)
3.54 (3rd) Goals Scored 2.76 (27th)
3.14 (20th) Goals Allowed 3.49 (27th)
32.8 (6th) Shots 28.3 (26th)
29.7 (14th) Shots Allowed 33.3 (28th)

Maple Leafs Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
William Nylander 63 34 50 84 253 9 -2
Auston Matthews 62 54 26 80 266 15 +21
Mitchell Marner 62 25 51 76 145 7 +20
Morgan Rielly 58 7 39 46 156 1 -3
John Tavares 61 19 26 45 213 7 -5

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Canadiens Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Nicholas Suzuki 63 25 36 61 150 9 -18
Cole Caulfield 63 19 31 50 239 8 -7
Michael Matheson 63 8 36 44 153 5 -27
Juraj Slafkovsky 63 13 18 31 105 5 -20
Jake Evans 63 5 16 21 67 0 -3

Betting Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have won 31 of their 52 games when favored on the moneyline this season (59.6%).
  • The Maple Leafs have an implied moneyline win probability of 66.0% in this contest.
  • The Canadiens have won 20, or 34.5%, of the 58 games they have played as an underdog this season.
  • Sportsbooks have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Canadiens have a 38.8% chance to win.
  • Toronto’s 63 matches this season have finished above this game’s total of 6.5 goals 34 times.
  • Montreal’s games this season have had over 6.5 goals 33 of 63 times.

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