Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks will face off against the Miami Heat at 7:30 PM ET on Thursday. Doncic leads his team in points (34.6), rebounds (8.9) and assists (9.8) per game, shooting 49.6% from the field and 37.8% from downtown with 3.9 made 3-pointers per game. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals (eighth in league) and 0.6 blocks.
In this piece, we’ll dig into Dončić’s stats and trends to help you pick out the top picks among his prop bets for this matchup.
The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of March 7, 2024 at 3:34 PM ET. Check out DraftKings Sportsbook to find the latest odds and get the best deposit bonus using our link!
Luka Doncic Prop Bets (March 7)
- Points Prop: Over 33.5 (-114)
- Rebounds Prop: Over 9.5 (-101)
- Assists Prop: Over 10.5 (+100)
- Three-Pointers Made Prop: Over 3.5 (-103)
Dončić Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | BLK | STL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/5/2024 | Pacers | 42 | 39 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 3/3/2024 | 76ers | 40 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| 3/1/2024 | Celtics | 36 | 37 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2/28/2024 | Raptors | 35 | 30 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 2/27/2024 | Cavaliers | 41 | 45 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 2/25/2024 | Pacers | 33 | 33 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 2/22/2024 | Suns | 38 | 41 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 2/14/2024 | Spurs | 31 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 2/12/2024 | Wizards | 37 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 2/10/2024 | Thunder | 31 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
If you’re looking for a place to bet on Luka Doncic’s prop bets, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!
Scoring Prop Insights
- The 33.5-point total set for Dončić on Thursday is 1.1 fewer points than his season scoring average.
- His point total has gone over 33.5 points 29 times in the 54 games he’s played this season.
- Doncic has hit the over 32 times on a points prop this season (in 58 tries).
- His 3.9 made three-pointers per game is 0.4 more than his over/under in Thursday’s game (3.5).
- Doncic has 30 games this season with more than 3.5 made treys.
- The Heat are the sixth-best defensive team in the league, conceding 109.9 points per game.
Dončić vs. Heat (2022-23)
| Date | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | BLK | STL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/1/2023 | 44 | 42 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 1/20/2023 | 37 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
Bet On Mavericks vs. Heat
- Favorite: Heat (-4.5)
- Total: 229.5
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