Penguins vs. Capitals Prediction: Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – March 7, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 6, 2024

The Pittsburgh Penguins and Washington Capitals are coming off a win and a defeat, respectively, heading into their matchup at PPG Paints Arena on Thursday at 7:00 PM ET. The bookmakers have made the Penguins solid favorites at -168 on the moneyline, and the Capitals are at +138.

The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of March 7, 2024 at 3:13 PM ET. Check out the article below for the latest odds for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Penguins vs. Capitals Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: PIT: (-168) | WAS: (+138)
  • Puck line: PIT: -1.5 (147) | WAS: +1.5 (-180)
  • Total: 6.5 — Over: (+108) | Under: (-131)

Injury Report as of March 7

Penguins: Jansen Harkins: Upper Body (Questionable), Bryan Rust: Upper Body (Out), Jake Guentzel: Upper Body (Out), Matt Nieto: Lower Body (Out), Drew O’Connor: Concussion (Questionable), Noel Acciari: Upper Body (Questionable)

Capitals: Nicklas Backstrom: Hip (Out), Nic Dowd: Upper Body (Out), T.J. Oshie: Lower Body (Out), Darcy Kuemper: Illness (Questionable), Martin Fehervary: Lower Body (Out)

Penguins vs. Capitals Predictions & Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Penguins
Total Pick Under (6.5)
Spread Pick Penguins (-1.5)

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Penguins vs. Capitals Team Stats

Penguins Avg. (Rank) Capitals Avg. (Rank)
2.95 (22nd) Goals Scored 2.62 (30th)
2.78 (9th) Goals Allowed 3.15 (20th)
32.9 (5th) Shots 27.1 (30th)
30.1 (18th) Shots Allowed 30.4 (21st)

Penguins Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Sidney Crosby 60 32 31 63 214 8 +12
Jake Guentzel 50 22 30 52 185 4 +9
Evgeni Malkin 60 18 30 48 155 3 +3
Erik Karlsson 60 8 35 43 141 2 +7
Kris Letang 60 7 30 37 123 0 +12

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Capitals Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Dylan Strome 60 22 25 47 127 5 -14
Alexander Ovechkin 57 17 28 45 203 7 -22
John Carlson 60 5 30 35 120 2 -5
Tom Wilson 59 13 13 26 138 4 -20
Alexei Protas 59 5 21 26 85 0 -3

Betting Trends

  • The Penguins have won 18 of their 37 games when listed as a moneyline favorite this season (48.6%).
  • The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Penguins a 62.7% chance to win.
  • This season the Capitals have won 16 of the 43 games, or 37.2%, in which they’ve been an underdog.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Capitals, based on the moneyline, is 42.0%.
  • In 25 of 60 matches this season, Pittsburgh and its opponent have combined to finish above 6.5 goals.
  • Washington and its opponent have combined to score over 6.5 goals in 25 of 60 games this season.

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