Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Prediction: Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – March 6, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 5, 2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Buffalo Sabres — both coming off defeats — will face each other on Wednesday at 7:00 PM ET, at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Maple Leafs (-188) versus Sabres (+153) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of March 6, 2024 at 3:13 PM ET. See below the latest odds for this contest and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: TOR: (-188) | BUF: (+153)
  • Puck line: TOR: -1.5 (131) | BUF: +1.5 (-160)
  • Total: 6.5 — Over: (-114) | Under: (-108)

Injury Report as of March 6

Maple Leafs: Jake Muzzin: Neck (Out), Conor Timmins: Illness (Out), Matt Murray: Hip (Out), David Kampf: Illness (Questionable), Mark Giordano: Head (Out), John Klingberg: Hip (Out)

Sabres: Victor Olofsson: Illness (Questionable), Erik Johnson: Illness (Questionable), Mattias Samuelsson: Upper Body (Out), Jack Quinn: Lower Body (Out)

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Predictions & Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Maple Leafs
Total Pick Under (6.5)
Spread Pick Maple Leafs (-1.5)

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Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Team Stats

Maple Leafs Avg. (Rank) Sabres Avg. (Rank)
3.61 (2nd) Goals Scored 2.94 (24th)
3.16 (20th) Goals Allowed 3.00 (13th)
32.9 (5th) Shots 31.4 (11th)
29.9 (14th) Shots Allowed 29.1 (6th)

Maple Leafs Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
William Nylander 61 33 50 83 248 9 -1
Auston Matthews 60 53 26 79 259 15 +20
Mitchell Marner 60 24 50 74 141 6 +19
Morgan Rielly 56 7 38 45 150 1 -3
John Tavares 59 19 26 45 209 7 -3

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Sabres Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Casey Mittelstadt 62 14 33 47 102 2 +12
Rasmus Dahlin 61 15 31 46 182 5 -9
Alex Tuch 55 17 23 40 138 2 0
Jeff Skinner 54 20 20 40 171 8 0
John-Jason Peterka 62 20 18 38 169 2 +5

Betting Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have compiled a 30-21 record when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Maple Leafs a 65.3% chance to win.
  • The Sabres have won 15, or 38.5%, of the 39 games they have played while the underdog this season.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 39.5% chance of victory for the Sabres.
  • Toronto and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 34 of 61 games this season.
  • Buffalo has played 25 games this season that ended with more than 6.5 goals.

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