On Saturday at Dean E. Smith Center, the No. 9 North Carolina Tar Heels (22-6, 14-3 ACC) will play the NC State Wolfpack (17-11, 9-8 ACC) — with North Carolina’s RJ Davis among the players to watch — tipping off at 4:00 PM ET. The Tar Heels square off against the Wolfpack in a game that North Carolina is currently a double-digit favorite by 10.5 points. A 153.5-point over/under has been set for the matchup.
North Carolina vs. NC State Betting Lines
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | -10.5 | 153.5 points |
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | NC State (+10.5) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Under (153.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score. Ready to put your picks to the test for this matchup? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook and sign up using our link for the best first-time depositor bonus!
North Carolina vs. NC State Stat Rankings
| North Carolina Avg. (Rank) | NC State Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 81.5 (25th) | Points Scored | 76.2 (107th) |
| 70.4 (127th) | Points Allowed | 72.1 (189th) |
| (1st) | Rebounds | (1st) |
| 10.8 (42nd) | Off. Rebounds | 9.6 (105th) |
| 8.0 (120th) | 3pt Made | 7.3 (195th) |
| 14.4 (102nd) | Assists | 12.6 (217th) |
| 10.0 (63rd) | Turnovers | 9.3 (24th) |
North Carolina vs. NC State Betting Trends
- The Tar Heels are 16-12-0 against the spread this year.
- Against the spread as 10.5-point favorites or more, North Carolina is 5-5.
- Out of 28 Tar Heels games so far this season, 13 have hit the over.
- North Carolina’s games have finished with more than 153.5 points 15 times so far this year.
- The over/under for this game is 153.5 points, 1.5 more than the average point total for Tar Heels games this season.
- NC State is 12-15-1 against the spread this season.
- North Carolina has seen 13 of its 28 games hit the over.
- Wolfpack games have finished with over 153.5 points scored 12 times this year.
- Games involving NC State this year have averaged 148.3 points per game, a 5.2-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
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North Carolina Impact Players
- Davis posts 21.7 points and 3.4 assists per contest — both team highs. He is also averaging 3.7 rebounds, shooting 43.1% from the floor and 41.1% from beyond the arc with 3.2 made 3-pointers per contest.
- Armando Bacot is tops on his team in rebounds per contest (10.5), and also averages 14.1 points and 1.6 assists. At the other end, he puts up 0.6 steals and 1.6 blocked shots.
- Harrison Ingram posts 12.2 points, 9.2 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game, shooting 43.3% from the field and 39.5% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made 3-pointers per game.
- Cormac Ryan posts 10.9 points, 2.9 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
- Elliot Cadeau is tops on the Tar Heels at 4.0 assists per game, while also putting up 1.8 rebounds and 7.6 points.
NC State Impact Players
- DJ Horne is posting team highs in points (17.5 per game) and assists (2.2). And he is contributing 3.4 rebounds, making 43.9% of his shots from the field and 43.1% from beyond the arc, with 3.0 triples per contest.
- The Wolfpack get 11.8 points, 4.0 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from D.J. Burns.
- Jayden Taylor is putting up 11.8 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game, making 39.2% of his shots from the field and 32.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 treys per game.
- Casey Morsell gives the Wolfpack 11.6 points, 2.8 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest. He also delivers 1.0 steal and 0.5 blocked shots.
- Mohamed Diarra paces the Wolfpack in rebounding (6.5 per game), and posts 5.3 points and 0.3 assists. He also posts 0.6 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
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