Lightning vs. Canadiens Prediction: Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – March 2, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 1, 2024

The Tampa Bay Lightning (32-24-6) host the Montreal Canadiens (23-28-9) on Saturday, March 2, with both coming off a loss. The Canadiens are heavy underdogs away from home, at +213, and the Lightning are -270.

The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of March 2, 2024 at 3:13 PM ET. See below the latest odds for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Lightning vs. Canadiens Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: TB: (-270) | MON: (+213)
  • Puck line: TB: -1.5 (-109) | MON: +1.5 (-113)
  • Total: 6.5 — Over: (-116) | Under: (-105)

Injury Report as of March 2

Lightning: Logan Brown: Undisclosed (Out), Brent Seabrook: Shoulder/Back/Hip (Out), Mikhail Sergachev: Leg (Out), Tanner Jeannot: Lower Body (Out)

Canadiens: Chris Wideman: Back (Out), Jayden Struble: Lower Body (Questionable), Raphael Harvey-Pinard: Lower Body (Out), Christian Dvorak: Pectoral (Out), Carey Price: Knee (Out), Kirby Dach: Knee (Out)

Lightning vs. Canadiens Predictions & Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Lightning
Total Pick Over (6.5)
Spread Pick Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning vs. Canadiens Team Stats

Lightning Avg. (Rank) Canadiens Avg. (Rank)
3.37 (7th) Goals Scored 2.77 (27th)
3.39 (25th) Goals Allowed 3.52 (27th)
29.4 (22nd) Shots 28.3 (26th)
29.6 (9th) Shots Allowed 33.3 (28th)

Lightning Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Nikita Kucherov 61 38 66 104 252 12 0
Brayden Point 62 31 33 64 173 10 -16
Victor Hedman 60 10 50 60 125 4 +5
Brandon Hagel 62 22 37 59 147 1 0
Steven Stamkos 59 24 27 51 180 12 -25

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Canadiens Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Nicholas Suzuki 60 24 35 59 145 9 -13
Cole Caulfield 60 19 28 47 225 8 -2
Michael Matheson 60 8 35 43 148 5 -23
Juraj Slafkovsky 60 13 18 31 101 5 -14
Jake Evans 60 4 15 19 62 0 -4

Betting Trends

  • The Lightning have won 61.1% of their games this season when favored on the moneyline (22-14).
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Lightning’s implied win probability is 73.0%.
  • This season the Canadiens have been an underdog 55 times, and won 19, or 34.5%, of those games.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Canadiens, based on the moneyline, is 31.9%.
  • In 30 of 62 matches this season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to finish above 6.5 goals.
  • Montreal’s games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 31 of 60 times.

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