Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights Prediction: Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – February 27, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on February 26, 2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs (33-16-8) will host the Vegas Golden Knights (32-19-7) on Tuesday, with Tyler Bertuzzi coming off a hat trick in the Maple Leafs’ last game. The oddsmakers have made the Maple Leafs solid favorites at -166 on the moneyline, and the Golden Knights are at +138.

The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of February 27, 2024 at 3:16 PM ET. Check out the article below for the latest odds for this contest and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: TOR: (-166) | VEG: (+138)
  • Puck line: TOR: -1.5 (146) | VEG: +1.5 (-180)
  • Total: 6.5 — Over: (+100) | Under: (-122)

Injury Report as of February 27

Maple Leafs: Calle Jarnkrok: Hand (Out), Joseph Woll: Ankle (Out), Matt Murray: Hip (Out), Timothy Liljegren: Undisclosed (Out), Conor Timmins: Illness (Out), Jake Muzzin: Neck (Out), John Klingberg: Hip (Out)

Golden Knights: Robin Lehner: Hip (Out), Jack Eichel: Knee (Out), Mark Stone: Upper Body (Out), Brett Howden: Upper Body (Out), Ben Hutton: Upper Body (Questionable), Pavel Dorofeyev: Upper Body (Out), William Carrier: Upper Body (Out)

Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights Predictions & Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Maple Leafs
Total Pick Over (6.5)
Spread Pick Maple Leafs (-1.5)

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Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights Team Stats

Maple Leafs Avg. (Rank) Golden Knights Avg. (Rank)
3.68 (1st) Goals Scored 3.14 (15th)
3.12 (18th) Goals Allowed 2.83 (9th)
33.1 (5th) Shots 30.8 (15th)
29.8 (12th) Shots Allowed 30.9 (22nd)

Maple Leafs Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
William Nylander 57 31 47 78 235 9 +2
Auston Matthews 56 52 25 77 244 15 +24
Mitchell Marner 56 23 49 72 139 6 +22
John Tavares 55 17 26 43 197 7 -2
Morgan Rielly 52 7 36 43 140 1 +2

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Golden Knights Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Mark Stone 56 16 37 53 117 4 +1
Jonathan Marchessault 58 30 18 48 195 6 +2
Jack Eichel 42 19 25 44 173 7 +1
William Karlsson 46 19 20 39 117 5 +12
Chandler Stephenson 54 12 22 34 78 3 -9

Betting Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have been a moneyline favorite 47 times this season, and have gone 28-19 in those games.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Maple Leafs’ implied win probability is 62.4%.
  • The Golden Knights have won 12, or 54.5%, of the 22 games they have played while the underdog this season.
  • The Golden Knights have a 42.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • In 32 games this season, Toronto and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.
  • Vegas has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 26 of 58 games this season.

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