Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction: Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – February 10, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on February 9, 2024

Both the Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators are coming off a win, heading into their matchup at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday at 7:00 PM ET. The Senators are underdogs despite being the hosts, at +115, and the Maple Leafs are -141.

The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of February 10, 2024 at 3:12 PM ET. Check out the article below for the latest odds for this contest and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: TOR: (-141) | OTT: (+115)
  • Puck line: TOR: -1.5 (163) | OTT: +1.5 (-201)
  • Total: 6.5 — Over: (-139) | Under: (+113)

Injury Report as of February 10

Maple Leafs: Calle Jarnkrok: Hand (Out), Matt Murray: Hip (Out), John Klingberg: Hip (Out), Jake Muzzin: Neck (Out), Mark Giordano: Lower Body (Questionable), Conor Timmins: Illness (Questionable), Joseph Woll: Ankle (Out), David Kampf: Undisclosed (Out)

Senators: Anton Forsberg: Groin (Out), Travis Hamonic: Upper Body (Probable), Jake Sanderson: Lower Body (Out)

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Predictions & Computer Picks

Moneyline Pick Senators
Total Pick Over (6.5)
Spread Pick Senators (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs vs. Senators Team Stats

Maple Leafs Avg. (Rank) Senators Avg. (Rank)
3.45 (6th) Goals Scored 3.34 (11th)
3.18 (21st) Goals Allowed 3.62 (30th)
33.1 (6th) Shots 32.7 (8th)
30.5 (18th) Shots Allowed 30.4 (17th)

Maple Leafs Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
William Nylander 49 25 40 65 207 7 +1
Auston Matthews 48 41 20 61 209 11 +16
Mitchell Marner 49 22 33 55 123 6 +13
Morgan Rielly 49 7 35 42 129 1 +1
John Tavares 49 15 25 40 180 7 -2

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Senators Key Players

Name GP GOALS ASST PTS SHOTS PP GOALS PLUS/MINUS
Tim Stützle 47 11 36 47 130 0 -4
Claude Giroux 47 15 26 41 117 2 0
Brady Tkachuk 47 22 19 41 203 5 -2
Drake Batherson 47 17 21 38 109 3 -5
Vladimir Tarasenko 45 13 20 33 89 2 +11

Betting Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have a 22-18 record when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Maple Leafs have an implied win probability of 58.5%.
  • This season the Senators have been an underdog 28 times, and won nine, or 32.1%, of those games.
  • The Senators have a 46.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • In 26 of 49 matches this season, Toronto and its opponent have combined to finish above 6.5 goals.
  • Ottawa has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 29 of 47 games this season.

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