The San Francisco 49ers and Christian McCaffrey will hit the field in the 2023 Super Bowl against the Kansas City Chiefs at 6:30 PM ET on Sunday.
Christian McCaffrey Player Props vs the Chiefs
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Rush Att Over/Under | Rush Att Over Payout | Receptions Over/Under | Receceptions Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90.5 | -125 | 33.5 | -125 | 18.5 | -145 | 4.5 | -130 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 11 | 7 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 11 | 6 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 2 | 1 |
Christian McCaffrey’s Rushing Trends
- McCaffrey has taken 272 attempts for a team-leading 1,459 rushing yards (91.2 yards per game) while scoring 14 touchdowns.
- He puts up 5.4 rushing yards per attempt, second in the NFL.
- McCaffrey’s 1,459 yards rank first in the NFL, and his 14 TDs on the ground rank fourth.
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McCaffrey’s Receiving Trends
- McCaffrey also has 67 catches for 564 receiving yards (35.3 per game) and seven touchdowns.
- McCaffrey’s 8.4 yards per catch average is 114th in the league.
This Week’s Predictions
| McCaffrey (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Chiefs (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90.5+ Rushing Yards | 56.2% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 38.2% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 68.8% | 35.8% | 29% | 54.7% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 12.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 10.4% |
| 33.5+ Receiving Yards | 43.8% | 46.2% | 29.9% | 40.6% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 37.5% | 22.2% | 18.6% | 30.9% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1% | 4.4% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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