At Donald L. Tucker Center on Saturday (at 2:00 PM ET), the No. 3 North Carolina Tar Heels (16-3, 8-0 ACC) meet the Florida State Seminoles (12-7, 6-2 ACC). Players to watch include the Tar Heels’ RJ Davis and the Seminoles’ Jamir Watkins. The Tar Heels match up against the Seminoles in a game that North Carolina is currently a solid favorite by 7 points. The matchup’s over/under is 154.5.
North Carolina vs. Florida State Betting Lines
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | -7 | 154.5 points |
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Florida State (+7) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Under (154.5) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score. Ready to put your picks to the test for this matchup? Check out DraftKings Sportsbook and sign up using our link for the best first-time depositor bonus!
North Carolina vs. Florida State Stat Rankings
| North Carolina Avg. (Rank) | Florida State Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 83.5 (21st) | Points Scored | 77.0 (106th) |
| 69.1 (115th) | Points Allowed | 73.3 (233rd) |
| (1st) | Rebounds | (1st) |
| 10.3 (60th) | Off. Rebounds | 9.2 (130th) |
| 7.6 (172nd) | 3pt Made | 6.4 (281st) |
| 14.1 (125th) | Assists | 13.1 (192nd) |
| 9.8 (41st) | Turnovers | 11.7 (200th) |
North Carolina vs. Florida State Betting Trends
- The Tar Heels’ record against the spread is 12-7-0.
- North Carolina’s ATS record as 7-point favorites or more is 6-4.
- There have been nine Tar Heels games (out of 19) that went over the total this season.
- In 11 games this season, North Carolina and its opponent have combined to score more than 154.5 points.
- The over/under in this game is 154.5 points, 1.9 higher than the average total in Tar Heels games this season.
- Florida State’s record against the spread is 11-7-1.
- As a 7-point underdog or greater, the Seminoles have one win ATS (1-1) this year.
- Out of 19 North Carolina’s games so far this year, nine have gone over the total.
- So far this year, eight Seminoles games have featured more than 154.5 points scored.
- Games involving Florida State this year have averaged 150.3 points per game, a 4.2-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
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North Carolina Impact Players
- Armando Bacot leads his team in rebounds per game (10.3), and also puts up 14.1 points and 1.4 assists. At the other end, he puts up 0.6 steals and 1.8 blocked shots.
- Davis puts up 21.0 points and 3.4 assists per contest — both team highs. He is also averaging 3.7 rebounds, shooting 44.5% from the floor and 41.7% from beyond the arc with 3.1 made 3-pointers per game.
- Harrison Ingram averages 12.3 points, 8.2 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game, shooting 43.1% from the field and 39.2% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made 3-pointers per contest.
- Cormac Ryan posts 11.1 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game, shooting 38.9% from the field and 29.3% from downtown with 1.5 made 3-pointers per game.
- Elliot Cadeau puts up a team-best 3.5 assists per contest. He is also posting 7.3 points and 1.7 rebounds, shooting 46.8% from the field.
Florida State Impact Players
- Watkins is No. 1 on the Seminoles in scoring (14.1 points per game), rebounding (6.1) and assists (3.0), making 44.0% from the floor. He also delivers 1.6 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
- Darin Green Jr. gives the Seminoles 12.1 points, 3.2 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game. He also puts up 1.6 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
- Baba Miller is posting 8.1 points, 5.1 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game, making 47.5% of his shots from the floor.
- Jalen Warley is posting 6.7 points, 2.6 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game, making 37.3% of his shots from the field.
- The Seminoles get 7.8 points, 3.1 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game from Cameron Corhen.
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