Sam LaPorta: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For The Championship Playoff Round Lions vs 49ers – January 28, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 24, 2024

NFL playoff action in the NFC Championship Game will see the Detroit Lions and Sam LaPorta match up against the San Francisco 49ers at 6:30 PM ET on Sunday.

Sam LaPorta Player Props vs the 49ers

Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Receptions Over/Under Receceptions Over Payout
48.5 -125 4.5 -150

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 10
Games w/ 1+ TDs 7
Games w/ 2+ TDs 2

Sam LaPorta’s Receiving Trends

  • LaPorta has caught 86 passes on 120 targets for 889 yards and 10 touchdowns, averaging 52.3 yards per game.
  • LaPorta’s 10.3 yards per catch average is 85th in the league.
  • LaPorta’s 889 receiving yards and 10 receiving TDs rank 37th and fourth, respectively, in the NFL.

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This Week’s Predictions

LaPorta (2023) League AVG (2023) vs 49ers (2023) Prediction
48.5+ Receiving Yards 47.1% 30.4% 23% 39%
1+ Receiving TDs 41.2% 22.2% 16% 32.5%
2+ Receiving TDs 11.8% 2.6% 2% 8.2%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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