Justin Watson: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For The Championship Playoff Round Chiefs vs Ravens – January 28, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 24, 2024

Justin Watson and the Kansas City Chiefs will match up against the Baltimore Ravens at 3:00 PM ET on Sunday in the AFC Championship Game of the NFL playoffs.

Justin Watson Player Props vs the Ravens

Rec. Yds Over/Under Rec. Yds Over Payout Receptions Over/Under Receceptions Over Payout
14.5 -130 1.5 +100

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Receiving
Games Over Yards Prop 8
Games w/ 1+ TDs 3
Games w/ 2+ TDs 0

Justin Watson’s Receiving Trends

  • Watson has amassed 460 yards (on 27 grabs) and three touchdowns. He has been targeted 53 times, and is putting up 28.8 yards per game.
  • So far this season, Watson has gained 17.0 yards per reception.
  • Watson ranks 82nd in the NFL with three receiving TDs, and 95th with 460 receiving yards.

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This Week’s Predictions

Watson (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Ravens (2023) Prediction
14.5+ Receiving Yards 68.8% 76.6% 75.6% 71.5%
1+ Receiving TDs 20% 22.2% 19.5% 20.2%
2+ Receiving TDs 0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.6%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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