Baker Mayfield: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For The Playoff Round Buccaneers vs Lions – January 21, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 16, 2024

Baker Mayfield will take the field for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers when they play the Detroit Lions at 3:00 PM ET on Sunday in the NFC Round of the NFL playoffs.

Baker Mayfield Player Props vs the Lions

Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Anytime TD Odds
1.5 +105 +800
Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout
1.5 +105

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 10 7
Games w/ 1+ TDs 15 1
Games w/ 2+ TDs 10 0

Baker Mayfield’s Passing Trends

  • Mayfield has passed for 4,044 yards (237.9 per game) while completing 64.3% of his passes (364-for-566), with 28 touchdowns and 10 interceptions.
  • Mayfield averages 7.1 yards per attempt as a passer this season, which ranks 15th in the league.
  • Mayfield’s 4,044 passing yards and 28 passing touchdowns rank ninth and seventh, respectively, in NFL play.

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Mayfield’s Rushing Trends

  • Mayfield has added 163 rushing yards (9.6 ypg) on 62 carries while scoring one touchdown on the ground.
  • He averages 2.6 yards per carry (163 yards on 62 attempts).

This Week’s Predictions

Mayfield (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Lions (2023) Prediction
0+ Passing Yards 100% 91.7% 88.9% 96.2%
1+ Passing TDs 88.2% 77.1% 83.3% 85.6%
2+ Passing TDs 58.8% 39.2% 55.6% 55.6%
1+ Rushing TDs 5.9% 35.5% 40% 18.1%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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