The Kansas City Chiefs and Justin Watson will match up against the Buffalo Bills at 6:30 PM ET on Sunday for the AFC Round of the NFL playoffs.
Justin Watson Player Props vs the Bills
| Anytime TD Odds |
|---|
| +500 |
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2023 Betting Outcomes
| Receiving | |
|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 8 |
| Games w/ 1+ TDs | 3 |
| Games w/ 2+ TDs | 0 |
Justin Watson’s Receiving Trends
- Watson’s stat line this year features 27 grabs for 460 yards and three touchdowns. He averages 28.8 yards per game, and has been targeted 53 times.
- So far this season, Watson has gained 17.0 yards per reception.
- Watson’s 460 receiving yards and three receiving TDs rank 95th and 82nd, respectively, in the NFL.
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This Week’s Predictions
| Watson (2023) | League AVG (2023) | vs Bills (2023) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0+ Receiving Yards | 81.2% | 91.8% | 91.1% | 85% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 20% | 22.2% | 20% | 20.3% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 0% | 2.6% | 0% | 0.3% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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