Josh Allen: NFL Player Prop Bets And Picks For The Playoff Round Bills vs Chiefs – January 21, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on January 16, 2024

Josh Allen will hope to make a difference for the Buffalo Bills when they square off against the Kansas City Chiefs at 6:30 PM ET on Sunday in the AFC Round of the NFL playoffs.

Josh Allen Player Props vs the Chiefs

Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout
234.5 -115 1.5 -105 43.5 -120
Pass Yds Over/Under Pass Yds Over Payout Rush Yds Over/Under Rush Yds Over Payout Pass TDs Over/Under Pass TDs Over Payout Rush Att Over/Under Rush Att Over Payout
234.5 -115 43.5 -120 1.5 -105 8.5 -140

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2023 Betting Outcomes

Passing Rushing
Games Over Yards Prop 8 6
Games w/ 1+ TDs 16 12
Games w/ 2+ TDs 9 3

Josh Allen’s Passing Trends

  • Allen has passed for 4,306 yards (253.3 per game) while completing 66.5% of his passes (385-for-579), with 29 touchdowns and 18 interceptions.
  • Allen averages 7.4 yards per attempt as a passer this season, which ranks 10th in the NFL.
  • Allen’s 29 passing touchdowns and 4,306 yards rank fifth and fourth, respectively, in league action.

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Allen’s Rushing Trends

  • Allen has also rushed 111 times for 524 yards and 15 touchdowns, averaging 30.8 yards per game.
  • He ranks ninth in the NFL with 4.7 rushing yards per attempt.

This Week’s Predictions

Allen (2023) League AVG (2023) vs Chiefs (2023) Prediction
234.5+ Passing Yards 64.7% 42.9% 27.8% 52.8%
1+ Passing TDs 94.1% 77.1% 77.8% 87.9%
2+ Passing TDs 52.9% 39.2% 22.2% 43.5%
43.5+ Rushing Yards 29.4% 53.6% 44.4% 36.2%
1+ Rushing TDs 70.6% 35.5% 29.6% 56%
2+ Rushing TDs 17.6% 7.1% 3.7% 12.8%

The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.

The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).

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